As we go through various life stages, we aspire to attain various goals. These goalscould vary from buying a house to going on a dream vacation. These life goals canbe attained through a process called financial planning. Financial planning helpsconvert these goals into reality through proper management of your finances.
A good financial plan requires analyzing the financial status, outlining the goalsand understanding the means for achieving these goals. It helps in setting realistictime horizons to achieve goals and assists in achieving them with discipline. Italso enables you to analyze your financial behavior and help optimize your expensesand savings. The ability to mitigate risks when investing is another important facetthat financial planning addresses.
Contrary to common belief, financial planning is not just for high net-worth individuals,it is for one and all. Each individual’s aspirations and goals will be differentand so each one has to plan as per his/her need. Planning your finances for theyear gives you a bird’s eye view of the income and expenses and helps you be betterprepared for every occasion.
The crux of financial planning is investing for your goals and maintaining a fairamount of liquidity to make use of any opportunity that may present itself or meetany unforeseen emergencies.
How can I benefit from financial planning? - Financial planning helpsyou assess an overall picture of your income, expenses, net-worth, cash flow, investments,debt (or liabilities), insurance and retirement benefits. It helps you identifyspecific and measurable life goals taking into consideration your and your family’sneeds. Some of your goals may include, but is not limited to: owning a house andcar, education for children, marriage of children, a foreign trip, start a businessventure, creating a retirement corpus, etc. After assessing your financial situationand your life goals, it helps you draw up a plan that will help you achieve yourgoals within the means of your available resources. It helps you meet your short-termas well as your long-term goals. It helps you analyze whether the actions takento implement have been successful. When a particular goal is fulfilled, it helpsyou find out ways to divert the surplus funds to some other goals to be achievedin the immediate future.
Is it meant for me? - Change is the only constant thing. This clichévery well applies to our lives. As our lives are altered at various periods of lifeour dreams become a moving goal post. To keep pace, we need to plan our investmentsin a systematic manner so that we reach our goals with fair ease.
Financial planning is a great framework that helps bring about discipline to yourfinances and simultaneously provides you that roadmap to identify your life goalsand a direction to achieve them with relative ease. Bringing about a disciplinein your financial management will help create wealth for you in the long term.
As each individual’s aspirations and goals are different, each one has to plan asper one’s needs. Before you start making any financial plans, you should sit downwith your family to discuss the goals and aspirations of each member. This helpsin prioritizing the goals that you wish to achieve.
Investing is all about risk and return. Almost every investor aspires to get high return with lowest possible risk. This, in actual sense, is not possible. The key, however, is to strike the right balance between risk and reward. That is, investing in such a way which effectively reduces the overall portfolio risk while maintaining the expected level of returns. How do you do that? The answer is, through asset allocation. Asset allocation is the process that seeks to balance risk and return in a disciplined manner. With the right asset allocation, you can look to improve risk-adjusted returns. Here's how...
Asset Allocation
In simplest terms, is deciding how to distribute your investment capital among various types of asset classes, such as equity, debt, cash, gold, real estate, etc. Most people confuse asset allocation with diversification. Diversification means having a wide variety of investments within a portfolio, but that doesn't necessarily have to involve different asset classes. Whereas asset allocation is the process of building a portfolio of different asset classes with varying levels of correlation.
Correlation is a measure of the extent to which one asset class behaves in tandem with another. Correlations between pairs of asset classes range from -1 to +1. A correlation of positive one (+1) means that two assets will move together in lockstep or in same direction (as one rises, the other also rises). A correlation of negative one (-1) means that two assets will move in exact opposite directions (as one rises, the other falls). A correlation of zero (0) means that two assets will move completely independently from each other (uncorrelated to each other).
The idea is to choose assets that are negatively correlated to each other or are less correlated (i.e. closer to zero). This will help ensure, that if any time, one asset does not do well, the other will help provide some solace to the portfolio.
Historically, equity and debt asset classes have been negatively correlated. That is, when equities go down, debt moves up, and vice-a-versa.
The table below shows the correlations of various asset classes over a period – April 30, 2006 to December 31, 2012.
Asset Class |
Equity |
Debt |
G-Sec |
Cash |
Gold (Rs.) |
Equity |
NA |
-0.26 |
-0.48 |
-0.62 |
-0.09 |
Debt |
-0.26 |
NA |
-0.80 |
-0.59 |
-0.05 |
G-Sec |
-0.48 |
-0.80 |
NA |
-0.66 |
-0.20 |
Cash |
-0.62 |
-0.59 |
-0.66 |
NA |
-0.06 |
Gold |
-0.09 |
-0.05 |
-0.20 |
-0.06 |
NA |
Correlations were arrived at, by taking daily rolling returns, for a period April 30, 2006 to December 31, 2012; Indices used are: Equity - S&P BSE SENSEX, Debt - Crisil Composite Bond Fund Index, G-Sec - I-Sec Composite Gilt Index, Cash - Crisil Liquid Fund Index and Gold – MCX Gold Index; Source: Accord Fintech.
- Equity, as an asset class, has always been negatively correlated to asset classes: Debt (- 0.26), G-sec (- 0.48), and Cash (- 0.62)
- Generally, there is a view that gold has a negative correlation with equity. And it can be seen from the above table that they have been negatively correlated (-0.09)
- Gold, as an asset class, has always been negatively correlated to asset classes: Debt (-0.05), G-sec (-0.20), and Cash (-0.06)
Asset classes over time move in cycles due to various factors such as economic conditions, industry trends, investor sentiment, etc. The table below shows how various asset classes have performed over a ten year period, on a calendar year basis, from 2003 to 2012.
Table 2: Calendar-Year Returns of Key Asset Classes
Asset Classes – Absolute Returns |
Calendar Year |
Indian Equities |
Global Equities |
Indian Govt. Bonds |
Gold ($) |
Global Commodities |
2012 |
25.70 % |
13.18 % |
11.09 % |
7.14 % |
-3.37 % |
2011 |
- 24.64 % |
- 7.62 % |
6.55 % |
10.06 % |
-8.26 % |
2010 |
17.43 % |
9.55 % |
6.04 % |
29.52 % |
17.44 % |
2009 |
81.03 % |
26.98 % |
-2.99 % |
24.36 % |
23.46 % |
2008
|
- 52.45 %
|
- 42.08 %
|
21.36 %
|
5.77 %
|
-36.01 %
|
2007
|
47.15 %
|
7.09 %
|
7.50 %
|
30.98 %
|
16.74 %
|
2006
|
46.70 %
|
17.95 %
|
5.41 %
|
23.15 %
|
-7.40 %
|
2005 |
42.33 % |
7.56 %
|
6.35 %
|
17.92 %
|
19.11 %
|
2004
|
13.08 %
|
12.84 %
|
-0.26 %
|
5.54 %
|
16.57 %
|
2003
|
72.89 %
|
30.81 %
|
2.85 %
|
19.37 %
|
22.94 %
|
We have highlighted calendar-year-wise best (blue) and worst (orange) returns across asset classes. Indices used are: Indian Equities: S&P BSE Sensex, Global Equities: MSCI World Index, Indian Govt. Bonds: I-Sec Composite Gilt Index, Gold: International prices in dollar, Global Commodities: Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) index; Source: Bloomberg and Accord Fintech.
As you can see from the above table, asset classes have performed quite differently each calendar year. This explains the importance of building a portfolio of different asset classes. The key is: Selecting asset classes that are not 'perfectly positively correlated' or have a correlation of '+1'. This will help reduce the overall risk in your portfolio.
Putting together a portfolio of different asset classes
When putting together a portfolio of different asset classes, there are a number of parameters that need to be looked upon. We describe below the main asset classes and some of their key characteristics.
Table 3: Asset Classes with Their Key Characteristics
Asset Classes |
Parameter |
Equity |
Debt |
Cash |
Gold |
Real Estate |
Alternate Assets |
Representative investments
|
Shares, equity mutual funds
|
Bonds, debt mutual funds
|
Savings account, Money market funds
|
Physical gold, Gold ETFs, e-gold, gold mutual funds
|
Physical property, real estate mutual funds, REITs, realty stocks
|
Art, Antiques and Collectibles
|
Risk
|
High
|
Low
|
Low
|
Medium
|
Medium
|
High
|
Return
|
High
|
Low
|
Low
|
Medium to High (but cyclical)
|
Medium to High (but cyclical)
|
High (but Indian market is volatile and still needs to mature)
|
Inflation protection
|
High
|
Low
|
Very low
|
High
|
High
|
High
|
Liquidity
|
High (except for ELSS funds)
|
High (except for bonds locked in for minimum period)
|
High
|
Medium to High
|
Low
|
Low
|
Income
|
Yes, in case of dividend paying stocks and funds
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes, in case of dividend paying gold funds
|
Yes, if you rent out your property or land
|
No
|
Capital appreciation
|
Yes (but cyclical)
|
Yes, in some debt instruments
|
No
|
Yes (but cyclical)
|
Yes (but cyclical)
|
Yes (but cyclical)
|
Stay true to your allocation by regularly rebalancing - Asset allocation is not static. It changes with time, as the age of the investor increases and risk profile changes. Also, whenever there is a change in the portfolio mix due to the returns generated by the various asset classes, there is a requirement for re-balancing the portfolio to bring it back to the initial allocation. If not rebalanced, the portfolio might take a hit on the returns generated over a period of time. Put simply, re-balancing helps adhere to one’s risk-return tolerance level. It’s a good idea to re-balance your portfolio at least once or on any important life event.
Summing up - Asset allocation is the single most important determinant of a portfolio performance. This is because a portfolio's allocation among asset classes determines a large proportion of its return. Creating an asset allocation plan based on your needs will not only help you balance risk and reward ratio, but will also help you face any type of market with greater confidence.